The derivatives market has grown significantly over the past decade, offering portfolio managers strategies to insure their portfolios against unforeseeable risks. This ultimately led to a stronger relationship between the underlying asset classes against their own volatilities as per implied by the derivatives market. With, the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) offering over 25 volatility indices to measure the market expectations of volatility, they are widely accepted as barometers gauging investor sentiment-shifts. The Implied Volatility Projection Range (IVPR) extends the statistical and visual capability of the CBOE?s volatility indices over their underlying assets in such a way so as to allow us to re-interpret the assets? price action from an implied volatility standpoint.

140511_2014 Conference - El Saiid, Mohamed

Julian will focus on trading the Sentiment Cycle and how it can be applied across many timeframes, with an emphasis on the right timeframe for the chosen market. He will illustrate how the market sentiment extremes can be identified and translate that into a trading plan to secure superior returns. He will also cover the traits of a successful trader/investor and the dangers of the "Correlation of One" when applied to both portfolios and individual trades. This will be a free form workshop where audience participation is welcomed. Let's help each other to be more successful.

140511_2014 Conference - McCree, Julian

Trevor Neil’s Volatility Squeeze Technique is a systematic trading approach designed to exploit break-out moves from unusual and unsustainable low volatility market states. Terrific and fast profits can be made by catching these, sometimes, explosive market breaks. The setup condition is recognised using familiar technical analysis. It is a trend-following technique with Stop and Exit rules. TNVS is a rule-based trading technique which is robust over different timeframes and securities. It’s rules and, stop placement technique will be shown during the talk. You will be able to use this proven technique yourself right after the presentation.

140511_2014 Conference - Neil, Trevor

Howard Bandy, Mohad El Saiid, Trevor Neil, Tim Rea and Gary Stone discuss questions posed from the audience.

140511_2014 Conference - Panel

There is a lot more to trading well overall than just the methods you use. Tim will share what he sees as the most significant keys in his own trading. His personal trading has seen triple digit returns for each of the last few years and his perspective on some aspects of what he does in his own trading may be of interest even to very experienced traders.

140511_2014 Conference - Rea,Tim

Too often too much emphasis is placed on trade entry. However, thinking at the portfolio level, not just the trade level, bears more fruit for the seasoned trader. With solid portfolio management principles in place the trader need not be afraid of what the market may do. Protecting the downside, increases the upside. This is achieved mostly through trade exit strategies, assessing systematic risk and position sizing according to assessed trade risk. Actual and simulated portfolio equity curves will be used to demonstrate the concepts discussed.

140511_2014 Conference - Stone, Gary

The goal of the developer of a trading system and of the trader who uses it is to have confidence that the signals issued by the system precede trades that provide rewards adequate to compensate for the risk. The key word is confidence. The primary limitation is risk. My presentation is in two parts -- one part for each of the two functions -- trading system development and trading management -- both focusing on that goal.

The trading management presentation will discuss a new and unique Bayesian approach that continually monitors system performance, determines risk of drawdown, assesses the personal risk tolerance of the trader, computes the maximum safe position size, and estimates profit potential. It includes techniques for determining the health of a system, readjusting the system as necessary, and deciding if and when to take it offline before serious loss of trading capital.

140510_2014 Conference - Bandy, Howard

Howard is interviewed by Dallas Brooks compare of the TV Show "Dollars with Sense". Howard puts his opinions about share trading to a general audience.

140510_Bandy, Howard

Many stocks have done well over the last two years but up trends do not last forever. Sometimes a stock will track sideways or head downwards for a period of time. Many investors do not want to trade out of these stocks but would like to profit or hedge their positions during periods of weakness. This is where covered call writing can be useful. In this presentation, Michael will cover the basics of covered call writing and how a retail investor can incorporate it into their investment strategy. He will also provide practical examples of how you can use technical analysis to improve your chances of being a successful writer of call options.

140510_2014 Conference - Gable, Michael

Alan’s presentation is based on indicators that he has developed over the past couple of decades, specifically designed to trade the Australian Stock market. He will explain the history of their development including their construction and intended application. Indicators to be discussed include: Money Histogram, The MACD predictor, The Range Indicator, Hull Moving Average, Gap Gauge.

Alan is going to use this conference to release his latest indicator, the Gap Gauge. This talk will take you behind the scenes, showing you how Alan uses technical analysis to solve practical problems he encounters as a trader.

140510_2014 Conference - Hull, Alan

Despite the importance of having the right mindset and managing risk, you still need a simple and robust trading strategy allowing you to consistently enter high probability trading opportunities. Effective technical analysis can place the odds in your favour as you look to only enter high probability trades. Most traders trade randomly - they will look for trading opportunities indiscriminately without any process or methodology. In this session, you will learn why consistency is one of the most important traits of traders - consistency in the execution of their trading plan from entry to position sizing to exiting. Trading plans provide the clarity and framework for disciplined trading. Learn how to tailor a trading plan to suit your personality.

140510_2014 Conference - McPhee, Stuart

Jonathan Pain takes his audience on a journey around the world from West to East, via the Middle East. He believes that the most significant and defining economic phenomenon of our lifetime is the rise of the Asian middle classes, and that they will be a major force in shaping and defining our economic destiny here in Australia and the wider world. He will urge you to re-consider the prism through which you view the world and suggests that much of the media has an obsessive focus on the negative and rarely highlights the many positives.

Jonathan believes that after five years of economic healing, the global economy is set for stronger growth in 2014, and beyond. The great majority of the world’s population of 7 billion people can look forward to better times ahead and, in fact, the next decade is likely to see the strongest global economic growth in over 30 years. What a Wonderful World is a story about where the world is heading in the years to come, and the key factors that will shape and define the journey ahead. His concluding statement reads as follows: The decades ahead will see an era of prosperity, enlightenment and opportunity that very few today are predicting.

140510_2014 Conference - Pain, Jonathan

Justine is a technical trader that has developed a trading system to trade all market conditions. She has streamlined her system to fit her lifestyle, which only takes me 15 minutes of her time per day. In this presentation Justine will showcase exactly what she does during her trading time each day, including how she runs a daily market scan, reviews the shares in the report and selects a trade based on her trading rules. Then, she will show how she position sizes the trade according to her risk strategy and places the trade in the market with a stop loss linked to it. She will also tackle other trading actions she takes, whether acting on an aggressive exit or adjusting her stop losses each day. All in a day of a trader plus more adventures.

140510_2014 Conference - Pollard, Justine

The goal of the developer of a trading system and of the trader who uses it is to have confidence that the signals issued by the system precede trades that provide rewards adequate to compensate for the risk. The key word is confidence. The primary limitation is risk. My presentation is in two parts -- one part for each of the two functions -- trading system development and trading management -- both focusing on that goal.

This trading system development presentation will discuss measuring success, issue selection, the two components of a trading system (the model and the data), identification of patterns that precede profitable trades, in-sample data analysis, out-of-sample system testing, and methods for validation.

140509_2014 Conference - Bandy, Howard

In recent years, more and more emphasis is being placed on volatility analysis. With every asset class and security exhibiting their own unique volatility signature, it is becoming crucial to integrate the underlying assets volatility mark into the construction of a technical indicator. The Volatility-Based Envelope (VBE) offers the ability to incorporate each security’s volatility mark and transform it into dynamic trading envelops that respond exclusively to the security’s volatility mark in such a way so as to contain price action regardless of the existing trend. Through combining time cycle analysis and security-volatility signatures, the VBE identifies overextended price occurrences and pinpoints potential cycle troughs and crests.

140509_2014 Conference - El Saiid, Mohamed

Trevor Neil develops on the idea the idea of reducing and simplifying the message of candlesticks by reading their sentiment. He will show how his way of analysing the market sentiment is far more appropriates for today’s markets compared with the over-structured and complex method classical Candlestick Charting. From this structure he has developed a rule-based trading technique which is robust over different timeframes and securities. It’s rules and, Stop placement and Exit technique will be shown during the talk. You will be able to use this TNSC yourself right after the presentation.

140509_2014 Conference - Neil, Trevor

While only taking mathematics to the end of High School and with no formal training in using computers Tim has still be able to amass an arsenal of trading systems using a wide range of methods and contracts that have worked well overall in his personal trading. Tim will explain some of the processes and approaches he takes when doing system development and implementation.

140509_2014 Conference - Rea,Tim

Paul's presentation will focus on demonstrating the work flow required for a successful, well-chosen and well-executed options trade. He will start with forming a view of global markets, then drill down to a sector and industry level to identify the best stocks for a directional trading opportunity. Using the percentile ranking of implied volatility he will demonstrate how to choose the correct options strategy that will maximise the return for a given trade. He then completes the process by setting time price targets for trade exit, leaving no room for hesitation or emotional decisions.

140509_2014 Conference - Wise, Paul

Speaker: Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

Topic: 50 Charts that will Reveal Unmask and Surprise

Get set for an evening of edutainment with assistance of the FNArena Editor's secret vault of financial market gems. Returning for the fourth (!) time, FNArena Editor Rudi Filapek-Vandyck is planning to make this year's presentation "something special". For his presentation, some 50 charts and graphs have been selected from this year's analyst research reports. Those who attend should prepare to be surprised, shocked, enlightened and ... entertained.

1411_Sydney - Filapek-Vandyck, Rudi

Speaker: Davin Clark

Topic: My Trading Journey

1410_Sydney - Clark, Davin

Speaker: Mathew Verdouw

Topic: Active Portfolio Construction using RRG's

In this presentation, Mathew Verdouw will give a brief introduction to Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) as a simple and clear way to view any group of securities in relation to a Benchmark in a single chart. He will then provide examples of how Portfolio Managers and Private Investors are using this technique in top down analysis and active Portfolio management. Regardless of the final analytical approach taken in security selection, RRGs are a simple way of identifying the securities that most require attention.

1408_Sydney - Verdouw, Mathew

Speaker: Gary Stone

Topic: A Mechanical System, TA Techniques and Criteria

In this presentation, Gary will cover the following topics,

-         The technical analysis techniques he has used for 17 years to open and close equities positions.

-         The criteria he uses for adjusting his overall exposure to the equities markets.

-         How he determines how much capital to place on individual trades.

-         The performance of his trading approach, including individual portfolio trading performance and historical portfolio simulation performance.

-         He will cover these points for trading the ASX and the NASDAQ.

1407_Sydney - Stone, Gary

Rudi will share some of his personal analysis and observations, while responding to questions from the audience.

What is Happening in the Share Market? - Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

In this presentation, Gary will cover the following topics,

-         The technical analysis techniques he has used for 17 years to open and close equities positions.

-         The criteria he uses for adjusting his overall exposure to the equities markets.

-         How he determines how much capital to place on individual trades.

-         The performance of his trading approach, including individual portfolio trading performance and historical portfolio simulation performance.

-         He will cover these points for trading the ASX and the NASDAQ.

A Mechanical System, TA Techniques and Criteria - Gary Stone